February 16, 2008, 7:00 p.m. (PST)
Effective Field Goal Percentage
UCSB: 52.4%
Davis: 50.5%
Turnover Percentage
UCSB: 21.5%; opponent 26.9%
Davis: 24.8%; opponent 21.3%
Offensive Rebounding Percentage
UCSB: 28.5%
Davis: 24.9%
Free Throw Rate
UCSB: 24.8
Davis: 25.4
If you recall from a post earlier this week, Davis is going to try and walk the ball up the court if their opponent lets them. What does that mean tomorrow's game will bring? Davis and UCSB will be walking the ball up the court. Bob has shown an aversion to a fast pace when his opponent plays a slow pace (I really hope he surprises me one game). Look for the game to be closer to a 59/60 than to 69/70.
Defensively, UCSB has been a top 60 squad in almost all categories. They're ranked third in turnover percentage, while Davis is one of the worst Division I teams at handling the ball. Seriously, I don't know if you can find any more solid evidence to show Bob Williams that the Gauchos need to run in Saturday's game.
The one weakness is UCSB's game is Offensive Rebounding %. They ranked as the 301st team in Division I. This isn't a big deal in a game with a lot of possessions because, over the long run, the more efficient team will have the extra possessions to get a bigger lead. However, if the Gauchos hold true to form they could be in for a world of trouble tomorrow in a slow, close game. Their saving grace? Davis is the 333rd worst offensive rebounding team in the country.
The last match-up with Davis was a solid victory for the Gauchos and look for them to continue that dominance on Saturday night.
2 comments:
Bleah. Squeezing past UC Davis was disgusting. Although it sounds like it was partly due to poor guacho 3pt and FT shooting, some great shooting by UC Davis, and perhaps a career night from one of their players.
Still, this game falls in line with your previous observation that UCSB allows other teams to dictate the pace.
Ivan Elliot had a dominant performance, and he is really the only superior athlete that our team can boast. He's probably the most important player on the team, with the possible exception of Harris.
I agree completely. I forgot to add this to my Recap, but, Ivan Elliot had one heck of a game. What's ironic about last night's game is that Ivan played the fewest minutes of any starter, but had the best stat line.
Kenpom.com actually has Ivan as our most efficient player by about 6 points. I've come to expect performances like this from Ivan, and I'll be sad to see him graduate.
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